Texas's largest 10K, over the Congress Avenue Bridge and up past the Capitol, with hills in the middle miles. April in Austin is often warm and humid, and spring storms are possible.
Plan for about 63°F (17°C) at the 08:00 start, feeling like 60°F (16°C), with 75% humidity and 10 mph wind, warming to roughly 65°F (18°C) by the finish. It rained on 2 of the last 10 race days. Wear: Short Sleeve Tech Shirt, Running Shorts, Running Shoes.
Feels like 60°F (16°C) at the start · finish 65°F (18°C) · rain 2 of 10 · start air from 43°F (6°C) to 72°F (22°C)
Conditions at the 08:00 start on the race's usual date each year (an early-to-mid April Sunday (recently the second)). Years when the race was cancelled or moved still show that date's weather. Source: Open-Meteo ERA5 archive.
Bar: air temperature from start to finish · dot: feels-like effective temperature · ≫ windy (15+ mph) · rain · shaded: PR band 40–50°F
| Year | Start temp | Feels like | Finish | Humidity | Wind | Rain | Sky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 67°F (19°C) | 67°F | 72°F | 73% | 8 mph | – | Clear |
| 2024 | 68°F (20°C) | 68°F | 70°F | 83% | 13 mph | – | Overcast |
| 2023 | 59°F (15°C) | 60°F | 62°F | 87% | 2 mph | – | Overcast |
| 2022 | 68°F (20°C) | 62°F | 72°F | 70% | 18 mph | 0.32 in | Overcast |
| 2021 | 61°F (16°C) | 57°F | 67°F | 47% | 4 mph | – | Clear |
| 2020 | 72°F (22°C) | 75°F | 72°F | 88% | 11 mph | 0.32 in | Drizzle |
| 2019 | 51°F (11°C) | 43°F | 54°F | 62% | 11 mph | – | Clear |
| 2018 | 43°F (6°C) | 39°F | 45°F | 77% | 2 mph | – | Overcast |
| 2017 | 68°F (20°C) | 66°F | 70°F | 84% | 15 mph | – | Overcast |
| 2016 | 68°F (20°C) | 67°F | 70°F | 80% | 12 mph | – | Overcast |
Coldest start: 43°F (6°C) in 2018. Warmest: 72°F (22°C) in 2020. Wettest: 0.32 in in 2022.
The time estimates apply published temperature–performance curves to this race's ten-year weather history. Performance peaks at an effective race temperature of roughly 40 to 50°F and degrades faster the warmer it gets and the slower you run (Ely et al., 2007; El Helou et al., 2012). Wind adds a cost that grows with the square of the wind speed (Pugh, 1971), split into head and tail components on point-to-point courses. Shorter races are penalised less. This is a model, not a prediction; your training and the course matter more.
Advertisement
Built from the 10-year average start conditions by the same engine as the live tool. Treat optional items as corral-only layers you can shed.
Short Sleeve Tech Shirt
Breathable running tee
Running Shorts
Lightweight with built-in brief
Running Shoes
Your regular training shoes
✓ Worn by the author
Compression tight for 40 to 55°F, works under shorts
$78
✓ Worn by the author
Fast-drying micromesh tee for warm-weather miles
$75
Packable wind shell for cool morning miles
$115
✓ Worn by the author
Thin, ribbed quarter sock that keeps grit out
$36
Water-resistant, reef-safe — non-negotiable for outdoor runs
$16
As an Amazon Associate, we earn from qualifying purchases. Some links may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Over 2016 to 2025 the start averaged 63°F (17°C) (feels like 60°F (16°C)) with 75% humidity and 10 mph wind, warming to about 65°F (18°C) by the finish. It rained measurably on 2 of those 10 race days. The coldest start was 43°F (6°C) in 2018; the warmest was 72°F (22°C) in 2020.
For a typical 63°F (17°C) start: Short Sleeve Tech Shirt, Running Shorts, Running Shoes. Dress for about 15°F warmer than the start temperature, since the race itself adds that much, and plan to shed anything you only need in the corral.
The Statesman Cap10K is usually held on an early-to-mid April Sunday (recently the second). The next expected date is Sunday, April 11, 2027. Confirm on the official site, since dates occasionally move.
The live forecast on this page comes from Open-Meteo and unlocks 16 days before the race. Forecasts inside 7 days are reliable for temperature within a few degrees; rain timing firms up in the last 2 to 3 days. Until then, the 10-year history above is the best planning guide.
Get a what-to-wear call for the live forecast at your exact location, free, no signup.
Check your live running weatherAdvertisement